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The models are based on extensive experimental data of microbial behavior in liquid microbiological media and food.

There can be no guarantee that predicted values will match those that would occur in any specific food system. Before the models could be used in such a manner, the user would have to validate the models for each specific food of interest.

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Thermal Death Models: Listeria monocytogenes in Ground Beef
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Input Conditions

Temperature in:
Temperature
Range: 55.0 to 65.0 °C
pH
Range: 4.0 to 7.0
Sodium Chloride
Range: 0.0 to 6.0 (% [g/dL])
Sodium Pyrophosphate
Range: 0.00 to 3.00 (% [g/dL])
Log Reduction
Range: 1.0 to 8.0

Line chart of data points for modeled log decline. Also available in a table format beside the chart.
Modeled Parameters
D-value:19.94 (minutes)
Time Required:59.82 (minutes)
 
Source:
V.K. Juneja and B.S. Eblen, Predictive Thermal Inactivation Model for Listeria monocytogenes with Temperature, pH, NaCl, and Sodium Pyrophosphate as Controlling Factors: Journal of Food Protection (1999) 62(9):986-993 - http://wyndmoor.arserrc.gov/vpubs/viewpub.aspx?iden=6718

Related Publications
Modeled Decline
Log DeclineMinutes
1.0019.94
1.0120.14
1.0220.34
1.0320.54
1.0420.74
1.0520.94
1.0621.14
1.0721.34
1.0821.54
1.0921.74
1.1021.94
1.1122.14
1.1222.33
1.1322.53
1.1422.73
1.1522.93
1.1623.13
1.1723.33
1.1823.53
1.1923.73
1.2023.93
1.2124.13
1.2224.33
1.2324.53
1.2424.73
1.2524.93
1.2625.13
1.2725.33
1.2825.53
1.2925.72
1.3025.92
1.3126.12
1.3226.32
1.3326.52
1.3426.72
1.3526.92
1.3627.12
1.3727.32
1.3827.52
1.3927.72
1.4027.92
1.4128.12
1.4228.32
1.4328.52
1.4428.72
1.4528.92
1.4629.11
1.4729.31
1.4829.51
1.4929.71
1.5029.91
1.5130.11
1.5230.31
1.5330.51
1.5430.71
1.5530.91
1.5631.11
1.5731.31
1.5831.51
1.5931.71
1.6031.91
1.6132.11
1.6232.31
1.6332.50
1.6432.70
1.6532.90
1.6633.10
1.6733.30
1.6833.50
1.6933.70
1.7033.90
1.7134.10
1.7234.30
1.7334.50
1.7434.70
1.7534.90
1.7635.10
1.7735.30
1.7835.50
1.7935.70
1.8035.89
1.8136.09
1.8236.29
1.8336.49
1.8436.69
1.8536.89
1.8637.09
1.8737.29
1.8837.49
1.8937.69
1.9037.89
1.9138.09
1.9238.29
1.9338.49
1.9438.69
1.9538.89
1.9639.09
1.9739.28
1.9839.48
1.9939.68
2.0039.88
2.0140.08
2.0240.28
2.0340.48
2.0440.68
2.0540.88
2.0641.08
2.0741.28
2.0841.48
2.0941.68
2.1041.88
2.1142.08
2.1242.28
2.1342.48
2.1442.67
2.1542.87
2.1643.07
2.1743.27
2.1843.47
2.1943.67
2.2043.87
2.2144.07
2.2244.27
2.2344.47
2.2444.67
2.2544.87
2.2645.07
2.2745.27
2.2845.47
2.2945.67
2.3045.87
2.3146.06
2.3246.26
2.3346.46
2.3446.66
2.3546.86
2.3647.06
2.3747.26
2.3847.46
2.3947.66
2.4047.86
2.4148.06
2.4248.26
2.4348.46
2.4448.66
2.4548.86
2.4649.06
2.4749.26
2.4849.45
2.4949.65
2.5049.85
2.5150.05
2.5250.25
2.5350.45
2.5450.65
2.5550.85
2.5651.05
2.5751.25
2.5851.45
2.5951.65
2.6051.85
2.6152.05
2.6252.25
2.6352.45
2.6452.65
2.6552.84
2.6653.04
2.6753.24
2.6853.44
2.6953.64
2.7053.84
2.7154.04
2.7254.24
2.7354.44
2.7454.64
2.7554.84
2.7655.04
2.7755.24
2.7855.44
2.7955.64
2.8055.84
2.8156.04
2.8256.23
2.8356.43
2.8456.63
2.8556.83
2.8657.03
2.8757.23
2.8857.43
2.8957.63
2.9057.83
2.9158.03
2.9258.23
2.9358.43
2.9458.63
2.9558.83
2.9659.03
2.9759.23
2.9859.43
2.9959.62
3.0059.82
3.0160.02
3.0260.22
3.0360.42
3.0460.62
3.0560.82
3.0661.02
3.0761.22
3.0861.42
3.0961.62
3.1061.82
3.1162.02
3.1262.22
3.1362.42
3.1462.62
3.1562.82
3.1663.02
3.1763.21
3.1863.41
3.1963.61
3.2063.81
3.2164.01
3.2264.21
3.2364.41
3.2464.61
3.2564.81
3.2665.01
3.2765.21
3.2865.41
3.2965.61
3.3065.81
3.3166.01
3.3266.21
3.3366.41
3.3466.60
3.3566.80
3.3667.00
3.3767.20
3.3867.40
3.3967.60
3.4067.80
3.4168.00
3.4268.20
3.4368.40
3.4468.60
3.4568.80
3.4669.00
3.4769.20
3.4869.40
3.4969.60
3.5069.80
3.5169.99
3.5270.19
3.5370.39
3.5470.59
3.5570.79
3.5670.99
3.5771.19
3.5871.39
3.5971.59
3.6071.79
3.6171.99
3.6272.19
3.6372.39
3.6472.59
3.6572.79
3.6672.99
3.6773.19
3.6873.38
3.6973.58
3.7073.78
3.7173.98
3.7274.18
3.7374.38
3.7474.58
3.7574.78
3.7674.98
3.7775.18
3.7875.38
3.7975.58
3.8075.78
3.8175.98
3.8276.18
3.8376.38
3.8476.58
3.8576.77
3.8676.97
3.8777.17
3.8877.37
3.8977.57
3.9077.77
3.9177.97
3.9278.17
3.9378.37
3.9478.57
3.9578.77
3.9678.97
3.9779.17
3.9879.37
3.9979.57
4.0079.77
4.0179.97
4.0280.16
4.0380.36
4.0480.56
4.0580.76
4.0680.96
4.0781.16
4.0881.36
4.0981.56
4.1081.76
4.1181.96
4.1282.16
4.1382.36
4.1482.56
4.1582.76
4.1682.96
4.1783.16
4.1883.36
4.1983.55
4.2083.75
4.2183.95
4.2284.15
4.2384.35
4.2484.55
4.2584.75
4.2684.95
4.2785.15
4.2885.35
4.2985.55
4.3085.75
4.3185.95
4.3286.15
4.3386.35
4.3486.55
4.3586.75
4.3686.94
4.3787.14
4.3887.34
4.3987.54
4.4087.74
4.4187.94
4.4288.14
4.4388.34
4.4488.54
4.4588.74
4.4688.94
4.4789.14
4.4889.34
4.4989.54
4.5089.74
4.5189.94
4.5290.14
4.5390.33
4.5490.53
4.5590.73
4.5690.93
4.5791.13
4.5891.33
4.5991.53
4.6091.73
4.6191.93
4.6292.13
4.6392.33
4.6492.53
4.6592.73
4.6692.93
4.6793.13
4.6893.33
4.6993.53
4.7093.72
4.7193.92
4.7294.12
4.7394.32
4.7494.52
4.7594.72
4.7694.92
4.7795.12
4.7895.32
4.7995.52
4.8095.72
4.8195.92
4.8296.12
4.8396.32
4.8496.52
4.8596.72
4.8696.92
4.8797.11
4.8897.31
4.8997.51
4.9097.71
4.9197.91
4.9298.11
4.9398.31
4.9498.51
4.9598.71
4.9698.91
4.9799.11
4.9899.31
4.9999.51
5.0099.71
5.0199.91
5.02100.11
5.03100.31
5.04100.51
5.05100.70
5.06100.90
5.07101.10
5.08101.30
5.09101.50
5.10101.70
5.11101.90
5.12102.10
5.13102.30
5.14102.50
5.15102.70
5.16102.90
5.17103.10
5.18103.30
5.19103.50
5.20103.70
5.21103.90
5.22104.09
5.23104.29
5.24104.49
5.25104.69
5.26104.89
5.27105.09
5.28105.29
5.29105.49
5.30105.69
5.31105.89
5.32106.09
5.33106.29
5.34106.49
5.35106.69
5.36106.89
5.37107.09
5.38107.29
5.39107.48
5.40107.68
5.41107.88
5.42108.08
5.43108.28
5.44108.48
5.45108.68
5.46108.88
5.47109.08
5.48109.28
5.49109.48
5.50109.68
5.51109.88
5.52110.08
5.53110.28
5.54110.48
5.55110.68
5.56110.87
5.57111.07
5.58111.27
5.59111.47
5.60111.67
5.61111.87
5.62112.07
5.63112.27
5.64112.47
5.65112.67
5.66112.87
5.67113.07
5.68113.27
5.69113.47
5.70113.67
5.71113.87
5.72114.07
5.73114.26
5.74114.46
5.75114.66
5.76114.86
5.77115.06
5.78115.26
5.79115.46
5.80115.66
5.81115.86
5.82116.06
5.83116.26
5.84116.46
5.85116.66
5.86116.86
5.87117.06
5.88117.26
5.89117.46
5.90117.65
5.91117.85
5.92118.05
5.93118.25
5.94118.45
5.95118.65
5.96118.85
5.97119.05
5.98119.25
5.99119.45
6.00119.65
6.01119.85
6.02120.05
6.03120.25
6.04120.45
6.05120.65
6.06120.85
6.07121.04
6.08121.24
6.09121.44
6.10121.64
6.11121.84
6.12122.04
6.13122.24
6.14122.44
6.15122.64
6.16122.84
6.17123.04
6.18123.24
6.19123.44
6.20123.64
6.21123.84
6.22124.04
6.23124.24
6.24124.43
6.25124.63
6.26124.83
6.27125.03
6.28125.23
6.29125.43
6.30125.63
6.31125.83
6.32126.03
6.33126.23
6.34126.43
6.35126.63
6.36126.83
6.37127.03
6.38127.23
6.39127.43
6.40127.63
6.41127.82
6.42128.02
6.43128.22
6.44128.42
6.45128.62
6.46128.82
6.47129.02
6.48129.22
6.49129.42
6.50129.62
6.51129.82
6.52130.02
6.53130.22
6.54130.42
6.55130.62
6.56130.82
6.57131.02
6.58131.21
6.59131.41
6.60131.61
6.61131.81
6.62132.01
6.63132.21
6.64132.41
6.65132.61
6.66132.81
6.67133.01
6.68133.21
6.69133.41
6.70133.61
6.71133.81
6.72134.01
6.73134.21
6.74134.41
6.75134.60
6.76134.80
6.77135.00
6.78135.20
6.79135.40
6.80135.60
6.81135.80
6.82136.00
6.83136.20
6.84136.40
6.85136.60
6.86136.80
6.87137.00
6.88137.20
6.89137.40
6.90137.60
6.91137.80
6.92137.99
6.93138.19
6.94138.39
6.95138.59
6.96138.79
6.97138.99
6.98139.19
6.99139.39
7.00139.59
7.01139.79
7.02139.99
7.03140.19
7.04140.39
7.05140.59
7.06140.79
7.07140.99
7.08141.19
7.09141.39
7.10141.58
7.11141.78
7.12141.98
7.13142.18
7.14142.38
7.15142.58
7.16142.78
7.17142.98
7.18143.18
7.19143.38
7.20143.58
7.21143.78
7.22143.98
7.23144.18
7.24144.38
7.25144.58
7.26144.78
7.27144.97
7.28145.17
7.29145.37
7.30145.57
7.31145.77
7.32145.97
7.33146.17
7.34146.37
7.35146.57
7.36146.77
7.37146.97
7.38147.17
7.39147.37
7.40147.57
7.41147.77
7.42147.97
7.43148.17
7.44148.36
7.45148.56
7.46148.76
7.47148.96
7.48149.16
7.49149.36
7.50149.56
7.51149.76
7.52149.96
7.53150.16
7.54150.36
7.55150.56
7.56150.76
7.57150.96
7.58151.16
7.59151.36
7.60151.56
7.61151.75
7.62151.95
7.63152.15
7.64152.35
7.65152.55
7.66152.75
7.67152.95
7.68153.15
7.69153.35
7.70153.55
7.71153.75
7.72153.95
7.73154.15
7.74154.35
7.75154.55
7.76154.75
7.77154.95
7.78155.14
7.79155.34
7.80155.54
7.81155.74
7.82155.94
7.83156.14
7.84156.34
7.85156.54
7.86156.74
7.87156.94
7.88157.14
7.89157.34
7.90157.54
7.91157.74
7.92157.94
7.93158.14
7.94158.34
7.95158.53
7.96158.73
7.97158.93
7.98159.13
7.99159.33
8.00159.53
 
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